Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.304597 0.355042 0.408364 0.468650 0.534641 0.604418 0.683513
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.233893 0.302355 0.379479 0.471695 0.577875 0.695277 0.833873
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.175355 0.252122 0.344247 0.460341 0.600186 0.760829 0.956912
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.142461 0.226250 0.332722 0.473080 0.648540 0.856278 1.116429
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.109460 0.194041 0.308291 0.465958 0.670316 0.919278 1.238500
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.093473 0.182031 0.307850 0.487871 0.727727 1.026184 1.415477
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074673 0.162131 0.293620 0.489187 0.757324 1.098210 1.550487
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059845 0.145335 0.281292 0.491082 0.786398 1.169153 1.684680
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.050161 0.135135 0.277231 0.503526 0.829153 1.257903 1.842423
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.043027 0.127976 0.276766 0.520468 0.877897 1.354901 2.011886
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036927 0.121417 0.276279 0.536766 0.925628 1.451000 2.181311
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028884 0.108627 0.263604 0.533032 0.943960 1.507345 2.299073
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023397 0.100249 0.257951 0.540314 0.979082 1.588242 2.452227
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017414 0.088470 0.244473 0.533765 0.993154 1.640169 2.567463
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011754 0.074755 0.225103 0.515624 0.988506 1.665316 2.646550
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009348 0.069874 0.222666 0.525841 1.027031 1.751515 2.809288
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006294 0.060619 0.209507 0.516101 1.033812 1.792262 2.910091
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005387 0.059502 0.214105 0.538268 1.091208 1.906396 3.113139
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.003786 0.053799 0.207275 0.538897 1.113997 1.970560 3.247548
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002599 0.048814 0.201274 0.540451 1.137977 2.036513 3.384924
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001963 0.046427 0.201353 0.553432 1.180718 2.130443 3.562301
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001549 0.045105 0.203966 0.571302 1.231726 2.237057 3.758341
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001198 0.043743 0.206261 0.588540 1.281928 2.342999 3.954344